Cross-functional what-if modeling for cascading multi-variable scenarios. Unlike single-assumption stress testing, this models compound adversity across all business functions simultaneously. Use when facing complex risk scenarios, strategic decisions with major downside, or when the user asks 'what if X AND Y both happen?'
Model cascading what-if scenarios across all business functions. Not single-assumption stress tests — compound adversity that shows how one problem creates the next.
scenario planning, war room, what-if analysis, risk modeling, cascading effects, compound risk, adversity planning, contingency planning, stress test, crisis planning, multi-variable scenario, pre-mortem
python scripts/scenario_modeler.py # Interactive scenario builder with cascade modeling
Or describe the scenario:
/war-room "What if we lose our top customer AND miss the Q3 fundraise?"
/war-room "What if 3 engineers quit AND we need to ship by Q3?"
/war-room "What if our market shrinks 30% AND a competitor raises $50M?"
/em:stress-test)State each variable with:
Variable A: Top customer (28% ARR) gives 60-day termination notice
Probability: 15% | Timeline: Within 90 days
Variable B: Series A fundraise delayed 6 months beyond target close
Probability: 25% | Timeline: Q3
Variable C: Lead engineer resigns
Probability: 20% | Timeline: Unknown
For each variable, each relevant role models impact:
| Domain | Owner | Models |
|---|---|---|
| Cash & runway | CFO | Burn impact, runway change, bridge options |
| Revenue | CRO | ARR gap, churn cascade risk, pipeline |
| Product | CPO | Roadmap impact, PMF risk |
| Engineering | CTO | Velocity impact, key person risk |
| People | CHRO | Attrition cascade, hiring freeze implications |
| Operations | COO | Capacity, OKR impact, process risk |
| Security | CISO | Compliance timeline risk |
| Market | CMO | CAC impact, competitive exposure |
This is the core. Show how Variable A triggers consequences in domains that trigger Variable B's