Futures Systematic

objective

Execute futures systematic work with reproducible research, explicit controls, and deployable outputs.

workflow

1. define hypothesis, trade horizon, and capital-allocation constraints.
2. build leak-safe features and align targets to executable decision times.
3. estimate signal edge, turnover impact, and capacity limits.
4. stress performance across volatility, liquidity, and crowding regimes.
5. promote only when net performance remains robust after full trading costs.

required diagnostics

• signal monotonicity, decay profile, and hit-rate stability.
• capacity stress from participation growth and liquidity depletion.
• regime dependency and edge persistence after parameter shifts.
• cost-adjusted performance versus naive and benchmark alternatives.
• roll schedule sensitivity near expiry
• calendar-spread liquidity and slippage stress

risk controls