Axiom Macro Pipeline

Run the full pipeline interactively

cd D:/AXIOM/Backend
D:/AXIOM/Axiom/Scripts/python.exe main.py

Run the autonomous daemon (weekday 9:15 AM ET)

D:/AXIOM/Axiom/Scripts/python.exe autonomous_daemon.py

Run via Hermes Agent

Run the AXIOM macro pipeline for today. Use the axiom-macro-pipeline skill.
Working directory: D:/AXIOM/Backend
Python: D:/AXIOM/Axiom/Scripts/python.exe
Command: python autonomous_daemon.py

Environment Requirements

FRED_API_KEY          — macroeconomic data (FRED API)
ALPACA_API_KEY        — paper trading execution
ALPACA_API_SECRET     — paper trading execution
FINNHUB_API_KEY       — news sentiment
OLLAMA_HOST           — http://localhost:11434 (LLM for E3/E4)
OLLAMA_CHAT_MODEL     — qwen3:1.7b
OLLAMA_EMBED_MODEL    — mxbai-embed-large
DATABASE_URL          — postgresql+asyncpg://axiom:axiom@localhost:5432/axiom

Trajectory Output

Every pipeline run is automatically captured to:

D:/AXIOM/Backend/trajectories/axiom_runs.jsonl

Atropos/ShareGPT-compatible format. Use TrajectoryLogger.export_for_finetuning() to convert to OpenAI fine-tuning format.

Key Design Decisions

• LLM writes scenario text only — probabilities come from E1/E2 math exclusively
• Log returns throughout E2/E5 (ln(1+r)) — Itô-compatible, better tail statistics
• Kalman smoother on E1 output — prevents single noisy PMI print from flipping regime
• Cash absorbs vol-targeting residual — never renormalise all weights after vol scaling
• Indicator availability masking — pre-1993 events exclude VIX/credit/oil/DXY (physically unavailable)
• Drawdown circuit breaker — hard halt at $85k equity (15% drawdown), liquidates to SHV