Synthesizing Strategic Intelligence

Output Structure

Intelligence briefs must include 3 main sections:

1. Executive Cultural Assessment

• Overall cultural landscape summary
• Key strategic insights from cross-domain analysis
• Primary cultural patterns affecting autonomy
• Confidence level for overall assessment

2. Autonomy Impact Analysis

Must synthesize findings from all 4 domains:

Enhancement Factors:

• Cultural dynamics naturally supporting autonomy (from all domains)
• Traditional practices providing protection (from all domains)
• Values and norms leverageable for agency (from all domains)

Constraint Factors:

• Cultural dynamics systematically limiting autonomy (from all domains)
• Traditional practices conflicting with agency (from all domains)
• Values and norms creating barriers (from all domains)

Exploitation Vectors:

• Cultural trust mechanisms weaponizable (cross-domain patterns)
• Authority patterns bypassing judgment (cross-domain patterns)
• Obligations enabling control (cross-domain patterns)

Protection Mechanisms:

• Cultural skepticism protecting autonomy (cross-domain patterns)
• Accountability preventing exploitation (cross-domain patterns)
• Resistance patterns protecting agency (cross-domain patterns)

3. Strategic Cultural Recommendations

Must include both timelines (see reference/intervention-timelines.md):

Immediate Actions (72 hours):

• Specific cultural factors to activate
• Practices to implement/modify/leverage
• Communication approaches
• Relationships to engage

Medium-term Interventions (30-90 days):

• Cultural pattern modifications
• Network adjustments
• Value integration approaches
• Practice evolution strategies

All recommendations must:

• Identify cultural leverage points
• Tie to confidence levels
• Include implementation approaches
• Specify expected outcomes
• Assess risks

Synthesis Methodology

See reference/synthesis-framework.md for complete cross-domain integration methodology:

• Pattern aggregation across domains
• Confidence level calculation
• Competing interpretation resolution
• Strategic priority ranking

Validation

After generating brief, validate structure:

python scripts/validate_brief_structure.py <brief_file>

Validates:

• All 3 main sections present
• All 4 subsections in Autonomy Impact Analysis
• Timeline-specific recommendations (72h + 30-90d)
• All 4 domains referenced in synthesis
• Confidence levels documented
• Cultural leverage points identified

Bayesian Rigor Requirements

Synthesis must maintain Bayesian standards:

• Aggregate probabilities across domains
• Resolve competing hypotheses
• Weight source credibility from all analyses
• Calculate composite confidence levels
• Identify synthesis-level evidence gaps

Cross-Domain Pattern Integration

Look for patterns appearing across multiple domains:

Strong Cross-Domain Patterns (3-4 domains):

• Highest confidence
• Primary strategic focus
• Most reliable leverage/risk points

Moderate Cross-Domain Patterns (2 domains):

• Medium confidence
• Secondary strategic considerations
• Contextual leverage/risk points

Single-Domain Patterns (1 domain):

• Lower confidence for synthesis
• Specialized considerations
• Domain-specific leverage/risk

Output Format Example

# STRATEGIC INTELLIGENCE BRIEF

## EXECUTIVE CULTURAL ASSESSMENT

[Overall summary with cross-domain insights, confidence levels]

## AUTONOMY IMPACT ANALYSIS

### Cultural Enhancement Factors
[Synthesized from all 4 domains with probabilities]

### Cultural Constraint Factors
[Synthesized from all 4 domains with probabilities]

### Cultural Exploitation Vectors
[Cross-domain patterns with confidence levels]

### Cultural Protection Assets
[Cross-domain patterns with effectiveness ratings]

## STRATEGIC CULTURAL RECOMMENDATIONS

### Immediate Cultural Interventions (72 hours)
[Specific actions with cultural leverage points]

### Strategic Cultural Development (30-90 days)
[Long-term strategies with implementation approaches]

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*Synthesis Confidence: [Overall probability range]*
*Domains Integrated: Identity, Norms, Values, Perceptual*
*Evidence Quality: [Assessment across all domains]*

See reference/recommendation-templates.md for detailed recommendation formats.