Spot vs Polymarket divergence trading on 15-minute crypto markets
Detects when Binance spot prices move but Polymarket 15-minute binary markets haven't caught up yet. Buys the lagging side and sells when it corrects.
Strategy tags match the CLAUDE.md encoding: BTC_DOWN_s12-14_w15 (0.12-0.14% move in 15s window).
Starts in dry-run mode by default (no real orders).
/div start # Dry-run on BTC,ETH,SOL,XRP
/div start BTC,ETH --size 30 # Specific assets + size
/div status # Stats, open positions
/div stop # Stop and show summary
/div start [ASSETS] [--size N] [--dry-run]
/div stop
/div status Stats + open positions + round info
/div positions Last 20 closed trades with strategy tags
/div markets Active 15-min markets from Gamma API
/div config Show current config
/div config --tp 20 --sl 30 Set TP/SL %
/div config --size 50 Set trade size
/div config --windows 5,10,30 Set detection windows
For each spot tick, across all configured windows (5s, 10s, 15s, 30s, 60s, 90s, 120s):
spotMovePct = (now - then) / then * 100{ASSET}_{DIR}_s{bucket}_w{window}BTC_DOWN_s12-14_w15 = 0.12-0.14% spot drop over 15s| Bucket | Spot Move Range |
|---|---|
| s08-10 | 0.08% - 0.10% |
| s10-12 | 0.10% - 0.12% |
| s12-14 | 0.12% - 0.14% |
| s14-16 | 0.14% - 0.16% |
| s16-20 | 0.16% - 0.20% |
| s20+ | 0.20%+ |