Npa Journal

Daily Entry Format

# NPA-guy's Thoughts — YYYY-MM-DD

## Session Context
- Properties: [what properties/areas were analyzed]
- Trigger: [user request / self-initiated]
- Session via: [telegram / claude-code / heartbeat-cron]

## What I Analyzed
[Brief summary — what properties, what data, what questions was I trying to answer?]

## Properties Reviewed
| Property | Location | Type | Price (THB) | Verdict | Key Factor |
|----------|----------|------|-------------|---------|------------|
| [address/project] | [area] | [condo/house/land] | [X] | BUY/WATCH/AVOID | [main reason] |

## Actions Taken

### Research Actions
- Searched KB for [area/property type] history
- Checked BTS/MRT proximity for [property]
- Researched school zones near [location]
- Looked up comparable prices in [area]
- Checked flood risk maps for [area]

### KB Ingestion
- Ingested property analysis: [description]
- Ingested area intelligence: [description]
- Total documents ingested: [count]

### Recommendations Given
- Recommended BUY on [property] because [reason]
- Recommended AVOID on [property] because [reason]
- Flagged [risk] to user

## What I Got Wrong
- [Specific mistake]: I said [X] but the data shows [Y]
- Root cause: [missed data / wrong assumption / incomplete research / ...]
- What I should have done: [specific corrective action]

## What I Got Right
- [What worked and why]

## Predictions (Falsifiable)
- By [DATE]: [Area/Property] will [specific outcome] because [reasoning]
- Confidence: [X]%
- Invalidated if: [specific condition]

## Open Questions
- [Things I want to investigate but couldn't resolve today]
- [Data I need but don't have access to]

## Self-Check
- Did I check BOTH buy and avoid reasons? [yes/no]
- Did I verify title deed type? [yes/no]
- Did I check flood risk? [yes/no]
- Did I check transport connectivity? [yes/no]
- Did I compare to market benchmarks? [yes/no]
- Did I ingest findings to KB? [yes/no]
- Am I being overly optimistic about any property? [yes/no — which?]

Appending to Existing Daily Entry

If NPA-guy has multiple sessions on the same day, append with separator:

---

## Session 2 — [HH:MM] UTC+7

[Same structure as above, starting from "Session Context"]

Weekly Reflection (every Monday or on-demand)

Read the last 7 daily entries and write a reflection.

# Weekly Reflection — Week NN, YYYY

## Properties Reviewed This Week
| Property | Verdict | Outcome (if known) |
|----------|---------|-------------------|
| [property] | [BUY/WATCH/AVOID] | [sold/still available/price changed] |

## Predictions Scored
| Prediction (from date) | Outcome | Right/Wrong/TBD | Lesson |
|------------------------|---------|-----------------|--------|
| [prediction text] | [what actually happened] | [R/W/TBD] | [what this teaches] |

## Patterns in My Errors
- [Pattern]: I keep [doing X] when I should [do Y]

## Patterns in My Successes
- [Pattern]: [What approach keeps working and why]

## Area Intelligence Updates
- [Area]: [New findings that update our understanding]

## What Changes Next Week
- [Specific behavior change or research focus]

Monthly Deep Review (1st of each month)

# Monthly Review — YYYY-MM

## Properties Analyzed: [N]
- BUY recommendations: [N]
- WATCH recommendations: [N]
- AVOID recommendations: [N]

## Prediction Accuracy
- Right: [N] ([%])
- Wrong: [N] ([%])
- TBD: [N]

## Recurring Patterns
- [Areas with best deals]
- [Common red flags]
- [Most reliable value indicators]

## Self-Assessment
- Am I getting better at [X]?
- What's my biggest blind spot?

## Evolution Actions
- [Update analytical framework]
- [New data source to add]
- [Area to research deeper]

Important Constraints

• Honesty over comfort — the journal is useless if NPA-guy sanitizes mistakes
• Specificity — "Property was overpriced" is noise. "Condo at Sukhumvit 39 asking 120K/sqm vs market 95K/sqm = 26% premium" is useful
• Actions must be concrete — "I'll research more" is not an action. "I added flood zone check to my analysis template" is.
• Predictions must be falsifiable — "Market might go up" is worthless. "Ari area condos will see 5%+ price increase by Q3 2026 due to Green Line extension" can be scored.