Legal Risk Assessment Anthropic

Likelihood (probability the risk materializes):

Risk Score Calculation

Risk Score = Severity x Likelihood

Risk Matrix Visualization

                    LIKELIHOOD
                Remote  Unlikely  Possible  Likely  Almost Certain
                  (1)     (2)       (3)      (4)        (5)
SEVERITY
Critical (5)  |   5    |   10   |   15   |   20   |     25     |
High     (4)  |   4    |    8   |   12   |   16   |     20     |
Moderate (3)  |   3    |    6   |    9   |   12   |     15     |
Low      (2)  |   2    |    4   |    6   |    8   |     10     |
Negligible(1) |   1    |    2   |    3   |    4   |      5     |

Risk Classification Levels with Recommended Actions

GREEN -- Low Risk (Score 1-4)

Characteristics:

• Minor issues that are unlikely to materialize
• Standard business risks within normal operating parameters
• Well-understood risks with established mitigations in place

Recommended Actions:

• Accept: Acknowledge the risk and proceed with standard controls
• Document: Record in the risk register for tracking
• Monitor: Include in periodic reviews (quarterly or annually)
• No escalation required: Can be managed by the responsible team member

Examples:

• Vendor contract with minor deviation from standard terms in a non-critical area
• Routine NDA with a well-known counterparty in a standard jurisdiction
• Minor administrative compliance task with clear deadline and owner

YELLOW -- Medium Risk (Score 5-9)

Characteristics:

• Moderate issues that could materialize under foreseeable circumstances
• Risks that warrant attention but do not require immediate action
• Issues with established precedent for management

Recommended Actions:

• Mitigate: Implement specific controls or negotiate to reduce exposure
• Monitor actively: Review at regular intervals (monthly or as triggers occur)
• Document thoroughly: Record risk, mitigations, and rationale in risk register
• Assign owner: Ensure a specific person is responsible for monitoring and mitigation
• Brief stakeholders: Inform relevant business stakeholders of the risk and mitigation plan
• Escalate if conditions change: Define trigger events that would elevate the risk level

Examples:

• Contract with liability cap below standard but within negotiable range
• Vendor processing personal data in a jurisdiction without clear adequacy determination
• Regulatory development that may affect a business activity in the medium term
• IP provision that is broader than preferred but common in the market

ORANGE -- High Risk (Score 10-15)

Characteristics:

• Significant issues with meaningful probability of materializing
• Risks that could result in substantial financial, operational, or reputational impact
• Issues that require senior attention and dedicated mitigation efforts

Recommended Actions:

• Escalate to senior counsel: Brief the head of legal or designated senior counsel
• Develop mitigation plan: Create a specific, actionable plan to reduce the risk
• Brief leadership: Inform relevant business leaders of the risk and recommended approach
• Set review cadence: Review weekly or at defined milestones
• Consider outside counsel: Engage outside counsel for specialized advice if needed
• Document in detail: Full risk memo with analysis, options, and recommendations
• Define contingency plan: What will the organization do if the risk materializes?

Examples:

• Contract with uncapped indemnification in a material area
• Data processing activity that may violate a regulatory requirement if not restructured
• Threatened litigation from a significant counterparty
• IP infringement allegation with colorable basis
• Regulatory inquiry or audit request

RED -- Critical Risk (Score 16-25)

Characteristics:

• Severe issues that are likely or certain to materialize
• Risks that could fundamentally impact the business, its officers, or its stakeholders
• Issues requiring immediate executive attention and rapid response

Recommended Actions:

• Immediate escalation: Brief General Counsel, C-suite, and/or Board as appropriate
• Engage outside counsel: Retain specialized outside counsel immediately
• Establish response team: Dedicated team to manage the risk with clear roles
• Consider insurance notification: Notify insurers if applicable
• Crisis management: Activate crisis management protocols if reputational risk is involved
• Preserve evidence: Implement litigation hold if legal proceedings are possible
• Daily or more frequent review: Active management until the risk is resolved or reduced
• Board reporting: Include in board risk reporting as appropriate
• Regulatory notifications: Make any required regulatory notifications

Examples:

• Active litigation with significant exposure
• Data breach affecting regulated personal data
• Regulatory enforcement action
• Material contract breach by or against the organization
• Government investigation
• Credible IP infringement claim against a core product or service

Documentation Standards for Risk Assessments

Risk Assessment Memo Format

Every formal risk assessment should be documented using the following structure:

## Legal Risk Assessment

**Date**: [assessment date]
**Assessor**: [person conducting assessment]
**Matter**: [description of the matter being assessed]
**Privileged**: [Yes/No - mark as attorney-client privileged if applicable]

### 1. Risk Description
[Clear, concise description of the legal risk]

### 2. Background and Context
[Relevant facts, history, and business context]

### 3. Risk Analysis

#### Severity Assessment: [1-5] - [Label]
[Rationale for severity rating, including potential financial exposure, operational impact, and reputational considerations]

#### Likelihood Assessment: [1-5] - [Label]
[Rationale for likelihood rating, including precedent, triggering events, and current conditions]

#### Risk Score: [Score] - [GREEN/YELLOW/ORANGE/RED]

### 4. Contributing Factors
[What factors increase the risk]

### 5. Mitigating Factors
[What factors decrease the risk or limit exposure]

### 6. Mitigation Options

| Option | Effectiveness | Cost/Effort | Recommended? |
|---|---|---|---|
| [Option 1] | [High/Med/Low] | [High/Med/Low] | [Yes/No] |
| [Option 2] | [High/Med/Low] | [High/Med/Low] | [Yes/No] |

### 7. Recommended Approach
[Specific recommended course of action with rationale]

### 8. Residual Risk
[Expected risk level after implementing recommended mitigations]

### 9. Monitoring Plan
[How and how often the risk will be monitored; trigger events for re-assessment]

### 10. Next Steps
1. [Action item 1 - Owner - Deadline]
2. [Action item 2 - Owner - Deadline]

Risk Register Entry

For tracking in the team's risk register:

When to Escalate to Outside Counsel

Engage outside counsel when:

Mandatory Engagement

• Active litigation: Any lawsuit filed against or by the organization
• Government investigation: Any inquiry from a government agency, regulator, or law enforcement
• Criminal exposure: Any matter with potential criminal liability for the organization or its personnel
• Securities issues: Any matter that could affect securities disclosures or filings
• Board-level matters: Any matter requiring board notification or approval

Strongly Recommended Engagement

• Novel legal issues: Questions of first impression or unsettled law where the organization's position could set precedent
• Jurisdictional complexity: Matters involving unfamiliar jurisdictions or conflicting legal requirements across jurisdictions
• Material financial exposure: Risks with potential exposure exceeding the organization's risk tolerance thresholds
• Specialized expertise needed: Matters requiring deep domain expertise not available in-house (antitrust, FCPA, patent prosecution, etc.)
• Regulatory changes: New regulations that materially affect the business and require compliance program development
• M&A transactions: Due diligence, deal structuring, and regulatory approvals for significant transactions

Consider Engagement

• Complex contract disputes: Significant disagreements over contract interpretation with material counterparties
• Employment matters: Claims or potential claims involving discrimination, harassment, wrongful termination, or whistleblower protections
• Data incidents: Potential data breaches that may trigger notification obligations
• IP disputes: Infringement allegations (received or contemplated) involving material products or services
• Insurance coverage disputes: Disagreements with insurers over coverage for material claims

Selecting Outside Counsel

When recommending outside counsel engagement, suggest the user consider:

• Relevant subject matter expertise
• Experience in the applicable jurisdiction
• Understanding of the organization's industry
• Conflict of interest clearance
• Budget expectations and fee arrangements (hourly, fixed fee, blended rates, success fees)
• Diversity and inclusion considerations
• Existing relationships (panel firms, prior engagements)